Archive for January, 2016
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Why Are Republicans So Angry, and 4 Other Questions for the Iowa Debate
Posted on January 29, 2016
(Originally posted in the WSJ) With Donald Trump planning not to take the stage in Iowa, perhaps the other Republican candidates will have a more substantive debate. As I’ve done...
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The Beginning of Trump’s Long, Steep Decline (He Said Hopefully)
Posted on January 27, 2016
Donald Trump’s decision to skip the Fox Debate and avoid tough questions from Megyn Kelly will prove to be his undoing. That’s my hope and my prediction. Trump is getting...
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We Don’t Know What We Don’t Know In This Election Season
Posted on January 26, 2016
“He’s all over the place! Nine hundred feet up to 1,300 feet. What an asshole!” The scene from the iconic movie “Airplane” reminds me of the latest polls on both...
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The Rise of the Misinformed Voter and Donald Trump
Posted on January 25, 2016
(Originally Published on The Hill) I was meeting with some D.C. press secretaries about a complicated legislative issue when it became clear to me that everything has changed since I...
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The Predicting the Future Fallacy
Posted on January 22, 2016
When it comes to predicting the future, I am a bit of a skeptic. I am skeptical of political pollsters, I am skeptical of economic forecasters, and I am a...
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