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Is It Any Coincidence?

Posted on December 18, 2009

Is It Any Coincidence?




Is it any coincidence that as the global warming talks in Copenhagen started heating up, the weather in the Danish capitol started cooling down?

Is it any coincidence that as the President departed Washington DC to close the climate change “deal” that American capitol was immediately threatened with blizzard-like conditions?

Sometime, it makes you wonder.

Is it any coincidence that the biggest critic of the Senate health care deal is the former head of the Democratic National Committee, a man who has been completely ostracized by the President’s Chief of Staff?

Is it any coincidence that the man who won a poll for athlete of the decade just announced he was taking a break from competitive golf for the foreseeable future?

Is it any coincidence that the man who was selected by Time Magazine to be its Man of the Year did all of his real work at the end of last year, in conjunction with Hank Paulson, a guy who everybody loves to hate, but who probably saved the financial system from a fatal heart attack?

Is it any coincidence that you can trace the rapid decline of the President’s approval ratings to that one moment when he decided to call Sergeant Crowley – the man who busted Skip Gates – stupid?

Is it any coincidence that almost every single major scandal this year had to do with infidelity?  Spitzer, Ensign, Sanford, Woods, Draper (from Mad Men).  Infidelity should have been Time’s  Man of the Year.

Is it any coincidence that the bigger the majorities a President has in the House and the Senate, the quicker his ratings go down?

Is it any coincidence that the more the Congress and the President talks about limiting executive pay, the quicker that the big banks repay their TARP loans?  Is it any coincidence that the quicker the big banks repay their TARP loans, the slower they make loans to small businesses?

According to Wikipedia, “coincidence is the noteworthy alignment of two or more events or circumstances without obvious causal connection. The word is derived from the Latin co- ("in", "with", "together") and incidere ("to fall on")…A coincidence does not prove a relationship, but related events may be expected to have a higher index of coincidence. Probability is the basic tool, or method, to rationally evaluate coincidences. In the field of mathematics, the index of coincidence can be used to analyze whether two events are related. From a statistical perspective, coincidences are inevitable and often less remarkable than they may appear intuitively.”

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